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Timely identification of economic contraction and its severity allows policymakers to intervene, and thereby reduce its amplitude and duration.

Moreover, European statistics are of uneven quality, long time series are not available, and data definitions differ across countries and sources.

In determining the chronology of the euro area business cycle, the CEPR Committee adopted a definition of a recession similar to that used by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), which has for many years dated the US business cycle.

The Committee had to adapt the NBER definition, however, to reflect specific features of the euro area.

See Methodology Does CEPR use a different approach to NBER?

See The CEPR and NBER Approaches What data does the Committee use?




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